Weather Kirkby in Ashfield – Tomorrow’s Hourly and 10-Day Forecast
Kirkby in Ashfield Weather Forecast: Hourly, 10-Day, Tomorrow | Live Updates
Sunday, May 3 brings a shift from unsettled conditions to brighter spells across Kirkby in Ashfield. After overnight and early morning heavy rain, conditions should improve markedly, with temperatures climbing to around 18°C by the afternoon.
According to the Met Office, Sunday morning opens with heavy rain and reduced visibility, particularly between 4 AM and 7 AM. By mid-morning, cloud cover begins breaking apart, and dry conditions take over. The temperature at 10 AM sits at 16°C, though blustery west winds of 10 mph make it feel closer to 14°C.
Weather in Kirkby in Ashfield Tomorrow
Tomorrow’s Overview
Key Weather Insights for Kirkby in Ashfield
- Heavy rain eases by mid-morning Sunday, with precipitation probability dropping from 40% to 10% by evening
- UV index reaches 6 (high) around midday, requiring sun protection for outdoor activities
- Westerly winds of 8-11 mph with gusts up to 21 mph keep conditions breezy throughout Sunday
- Air quality remains poor across the region according to AccuWeather measurements
- Temperatures feel 2-3°C cooler than actual readings due to wind chill
- Humidity ranges from 62% in the afternoon to 91% during early morning rain
- Visibility improves from “Good” to “Very Good” once rain clears
Sunday Hourly Breakdown
| Time | Temp | Feels Like | Condition | Precip | Wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:00 | 14°C | 13°C | Heavy rain | 30% | WSW 8 mph |
| 04:00 | 14°C | 14°C | Heavy rain | 30% | WSW 7 mph |
| 07:00 | 13°C | 13°C | Heavy rain | 40% | WSW 8 mph |
| 10:00 | 16°C | 14°C | Cloudy | 40% | W 10 mph |
| 13:00 | 18°C | 16°C | Partly cloudy | 30% | W 11 mph |
| 16:00 | 17°C | 15°C | Partly cloudy | 30% | WSW 11 mph |
| 19:00 | 16°C | 14°C | Clear | 20% | W 11 mph |
| 22:00 | 14°C | 13°C | Clear | 10% | W 8 mph |
Morning fog and heavy rain reduce visibility to “Good” during the early hours. By mid-afternoon, visibility improves to “Very Good” as conditions clear. Drivers should exercise caution during the 4 AM to 10 AM window.
Kirkby in Ashfield 10-Day Weather Forecast
The week ahead shows a predominantly dry and warm pattern for Kirkby in Ashfield, with temperatures climbing above seasonal averages by midweek. According to Met Office forecasts, the most significant warm spell arrives Tuesday, May 5, with temperatures potentially reaching 24°C locally and peaking at 31°C across parts of the East Midlands region.
Daily Forecast Summary
| Date | High | Conditions | Rain Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun May 3 | 18°C | Heavy rain early, then drier | 40% (early) |
| Mon May 4 | 19°C | Cloudy with spells | 30% |
| Tue May 5 | 24°C | Dry, bright, sunny | Low |
| Wed May 6 | 24°C | Warm, dry, thinning clouds | Low |
| Thu May 7 | — | Dry, bright, some cloud | Low |
| Fri May 8 | — | Breezy, dry, bright | Low |
| Sat May 9 | Above normal | Windy, showers possible | Elevated |
| Sun May 10 | — | Fine night, clear | Low |
| Mon May 11 | 20-25°C | Stable, warm spells | Low |
| Tue May 12 | 20-25°C | Stable, warm spells | Low |
14-Day Outlook
Met Office extended forecasts indicate that May 10 through 12 should bring mostly fine conditions with light winds and temperatures holding between 20°C and 25°C. However, the picture becomes more unsettled from May 13 onward.
Increasing cloud cover develops mid-month, with north-easterly breezes bringing cooler conditions particularly affecting eastern coastal areas. Evening thundery showers become possible during the May 13-16 window, though these are not expected to be widespread.
The warmest window for outdoor activities falls between Tuesday May 5 and Friday May 8. Saturday May 9 carries an elevated shower risk, making indoor contingencies advisable for weekend plans.
For a broader view of regional conditions, see the Weather in Nottingham 10 Days – Detailed Forecast from Met Office.
BBC Weather Kirkby in Ashfield
BBC Weather provides real-time updates for Kirkby in Ashfield alongside its standard hourly and daily forecast presentations. The service aligns closely with Met Office data, confirming similar temperature ranges and precipitation timing across the forecast period.
Comparing Forecast Sources
BBC Weather offers several distinct features for Kirkby in Ashfield residents. The interface presents tonight and tomorrow conditions through separate tabs, with hourly breakdowns accessible for planning purposes. Weather maps and radar imagery provide visual context for approaching weather systems.
The Met Office serves as the authoritative UK national meteorological service, and its dedicated page for Kirkby in Ashfield provides the most granular hourly data available. This source prioritizes accuracy for short-term forecasting, making it the preferred reference for time-sensitive planning.
AccuWeather delivers complementary perspective through its Kirkby in Ashfield forecast page, with particularly detailed RealFeel temperature readings that account for humidity and wind effects. The service flags poor air quality throughout the region, a metric not prominently featured in UK-focused sources.
AccuWeather consistently rates air quality as “poor” for Kirkby in Ashfield and surrounding Nottinghamshire areas. Those with respiratory conditions should monitor air quality indices and limit prolonged outdoor exertion during peak afternoon hours.
AccuWeather’s evening data shows temperatures holding at 24°C (76°F) RealFeel Shade through 8 PM Sunday, with humidity dropping to 48% and cloud cover clearing to just 16%. This indicates rapidly improving conditions as the evening progresses.
Regional Alignment
Cross-referencing across sources confirms consistent forecasts for the East Midlands region. BBC Weather’s Kirkby in Ashfield page notes that Tuesday May 5 brings “hot again for many” conditions, matching Met Office projections of 24-31°C across the wider area.
For similar forecasting approaches in comparable locations, the BBC Weather Market Harborough – 7-Day Forecast & Updates page demonstrates how BBC structures its seven-day forecasts across the region.
28-Day Weather Forecast for Kirkby in Ashfield
Long-range forecasting carries inherently greater uncertainty than short-term predictions. The Met Office provides probabilistic trends for the 28-day period extending to late May 2026, though these projections lack the hourly granularity available in shorter forecasts.
Early-Month Trends (May 3-16)
The first half of May shows a settled, predominantly dry bias across Kirkby in Ashfield. Warm spells appear regularly, with temperature peaks of 24-31°C occurring during sunny intervals. Isolated thunderstorms may develop during afternoon or evening hours, particularly in the latter days of this period.
Minimum overnight temperatures hold around 14°C through mid-May, providing comfortable conditions for evening activities despite residual warmth from daytime highs. This temperature differential between day and night remains consistent with seasonal norms for Nottinghamshire.
Late-Month Outlook (May 17-30)
The final two weeks of May signal a shift toward fresher, cloudier conditions across eastern areas of the region. North-easterly breezes develop more prominently, bringing cooler air masses that moderate temperatures to an average range of 18-24°C.
Rain risk remains relatively low through mid-month before increasing toward the final days of May. This pattern suggests the latter part of the month offers more traditional early-summer variability compared to the anomalously warm conditions expected during the first half.
Long-range forecasts beyond 14 days carry meaningful uncertainty. While the settled pattern through mid-May appears reliable, late-month predictions may shift as new meteorological data becomes available. Checking updates at metoffice.gov.uk helps maintain accurate expectations.
Kirkby in Ashfield Weather Timeline
The progression of weather through the coming weeks follows a discernible pattern shaped by Atlantic weather systems and continental high pressure building and retreating across the UK.
- Sunday May 3, early hours: Heavy rain moves through Kirkby in Ashfield, with 30-40% precipitation probability and visibility reduced to “Good” (04:00-07:00)
- Sunday May 3, morning: Rain eases by mid-morning as west winds strengthen to 10 mph and cloud cover begins breaking (10:00)
- Sunday May 3, afternoon: Partly cloudy conditions with temperatures reaching 18°C, UV index peaks at 6 (13:00-16:00)
- Monday May 4: Cloudy skies persist with 30% shower risk and temperatures around 19°C
- Tuesday May 5: Warmest day of the period arrives with dry, bright conditions and temperatures up to 24°C locally (31°C regionally)
- Wednesday May 5-6: Continued warmth with cloud thinning, maintaining 24°C highs through the working week
- Saturday May 9: Winds increase ahead of an approaching front, bringing elevated shower risk
- Sunday May 10 evening: Clear skies develop overnight with minimum temperatures around 14°C
- May 13-16: Increasing cloud and possible evening thundery showers develop
- May 17-30: Fresher conditions take hold with north-easterly breezes and temperatures averaging 18-24°C
Weather Forecast Certainty for Kirkby in Ashfield
Forecast accuracy varies significantly across time horizons. Understanding these confidence levels helps residents and visitors plan activities appropriately without misplaced certainty in uncertain projections.
Established Information
- Heavy rain expected Sunday morning with precipitation probability of 30-40%
- Conditions dry out by late Sunday morning with decreasing cloud cover
- Temperatures will reach 18°C Sunday afternoon
- UV index peaks at 6 (high) around midday Sunday
- Tuesday May 5 brings warm, dry, sunny conditions
- Minimum overnight temperatures hold around 14°C
- Air quality remains poor throughout the region
Uncertain Information
- Precise timing of Sunday morning rain cessation (window: 7-10 AM)
- Whether Tuesday temperatures reach 24°C locally or closer to 31°C regionally
- Specific location and timing of May 13-16 evening thunderstorms
- Exact rainfall amounts if Saturday May 9 showers materialize
- Magnitude of late-May cooling expected after May 16
- Whether May 17-30 precipitation increases significantly or remains minimal
Weather Analysis and Context
Kirkby in Ashfield sits within Nottinghamshire’s Ashfield district, approximately 12 miles north of Nottingham city centre. The town’s position in the East Midlands exposes it to weather systems arriving from both Atlantic westerlies and continental easterlies, creating the mixed conditions typical of central England’s transitional climate.
Current forecasts align closely with patterns observed across comparable Nottinghamshire towns. Met Office data suggests similar temperature trajectories and precipitation timing for areas surrounding Kirkby, including Sutton-in-Ashfield and Mansfield. This regional consistency provides additional confidence in short-term predictions while reinforcing the inherent uncertainty in extended outlooks.
The warm spell anticipated for Tuesday May 5 follows a familiar early-May pattern where high pressure builds across southern England while residual Atlantic moisture periodically intrudes from the west. These conditions typically produce the dramatic temperature swings and rapid clearing events characteristic of late spring in the English Midlands.
Forecast Sources
Multiple authoritative sources inform this weather overview. The UK Met Office provides the primary authoritative reference, with its dedicated Kirkby in Ashfield forecast page offering the most detailed hourly breakdowns available for the location.
“Heavy rain early, then brighter spells developing through Sunday morning. Temperatures reaching 18°C by afternoon with fresh westerly winds.”
— Met Office forecast summary for Kirkby in Ashfield, May 2, 2026
AccuWeather contributes supplementary data including RealFeel temperature readings, air quality assessments, and extended probability-based forecasts. WeatherBug adds additional cross-reference points for evening conditions, with readings generally aligning within 2-3°C across concurrent time periods.
BBC Weather’s Kirkby in Ashfield page confirms forecast patterns while providing accessible visualization through radar imagery and interactive maps. The service updates continuously throughout the day, incorporating new observational data as systems evolve.
What’s Next for Kirkby in Ashfield Weather
Residents and visitors should monitor conditions through the week ahead, particularly the contrast between Sunday’s unsettled start and the warm, dry conditions arriving midweek. Those with outdoor plans for Saturday May 9 should maintain awareness of developing shower risks as the settled period concludes.
The extended outlook suggests a return to more typical early-summer variability after May 16, though the magnitude and timing of this shift remains uncertain. Regular updates from official sources provide the most reliable guidance for planning beyond the confirmed forecast window.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the hourly weather in Kirkby in Ashfield?
Hourly forecasts show rain through 7 AM Sunday, clearing by 10 AM. Afternoon temperatures reach 18°C with westerly winds of 10-11 mph. Evening conditions become clear with temperatures dropping to 14°C by 10 PM.
How accurate is the 14-day forecast?
Fourteen-day forecasts maintain moderate accuracy, particularly for temperature ranges and general conditions. Precipitation timing becomes less reliable beyond 7-10 days, and specific events like isolated thunderstorms cannot be precisely predicted this far in advance.
Where to find Met Office Kirkby in Ashfield forecasts?
The Met Office maintains a dedicated forecast page for Kirkby in Ashfield providing hourly and daily updates. The official service offers the most authoritative and frequently refreshed data available for the location.
What temperatures are expected Tuesday May 5?
Tuesday May 5 projects to be the warmest day of the forecast period, with temperatures reaching 24°C in Kirkby and potentially 31°C across parts of the East Midlands region. Conditions should be dry, bright, and sunny throughout the day.
Is heavy rain expected Sunday morning?
Yes. Met Office data shows heavy rain with 30-40% precipitation probability through the early morning hours of Sunday May 3. Rain should ease by mid-morning, with conditions drying out and cloud cover breaking by 10 AM.
How reliable is the 28-day weather forecast?
Long-range forecasts provide probabilistic trends rather than precise predictions. The 28-day outlook indicates general patterns—a settled dry bias through mid-May followed by fresher, cloudier conditions late in the month—but specific timing and magnitude of weather events remain uncertain beyond approximately two weeks.
Will it be warm enough for outdoor activities this week?
Temperatures between Tuesday May 5 and Friday May 8 should reach 20-24°C, providing warm conditions suitable for outdoor activities. Sunday begins unsettled but improves through the afternoon. Saturday May 9 carries some shower risk that may affect outdoor plans.
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